fbpx
Market intelligence for international student recruitment from ICEF
14th Jun 2023

US reports a significant spike in student visa refusals for 2022

Short on time? Here are the highlights:
  • The US rejected 35% of all F-1 student visa applications in 2022
  • This represents a significant increase in rejection rates compared to previous years
  • Rejections rates for Indian students are higher than average, suggesting that the surging applicant numbers from India play a part in shaping that overall trend

New data indicates that the US Department of State rejected 35% of applications last year for F-1 student visas. This is both a notable increase in the overall refusal rate for F-1 applicants, and also considerably higher than the average rate for other non-immigrant visa classes.

Share of non-immigrant visas denied, comparing F-1 student visas with all other visa classes, 2010–2022. Source: US Department of State/Cato Institute

In concrete terms, that amounts to 220,676 applications denied out of a total of 631,807 applications – meaning in turn that more than 411,000 F-1 visas were granted to incoming students in 2022.

"It is important to understand that before a student can even apply for a visa they must already be accepted into a government‐​approved university," says the Cato Institute's Associate Director for Immigration Studies, David Bier. "This means that the US Department of State turned down 220,676 students who would have likely paid roughly $30,000 per year or US$6.6 billion per year in tuition and living expenses. Over four years, that number rises to US$26.4 billion in lost economic benefits to the United States."

The reasons behind the higher refusal rates are not clear but it appears that the shifting mix of the United States' foreign student enrolment has played a part. Visa applications from Indian students have surged in recent years, and Mr Bier has also noted that rejection rates for Indian applicants are considerably higher than they are for applicants from China, the traditional leading source of students for the US.

Share of student visas denied, China and India, 2010–2022. Source: US Department of State/Cato Institute

That higher refusal rate for Indian applicants does not appear to be based in any difference of policy, but rather on how US consular officials assess the study plans of Indian students. To illustrate this point, Mr Bier quotes the US head of consular affairs Don Heflin, who explained in a 2022 interview that students should:

"Bring [bank statements] just in case the vice consul asks, but we are looking at this less than we used to. We know Indian families usually find a way [to pay].… Mostly it’s about explaining why this school and this curriculum makes sense to you. It’s what in American English we call the Elevator Pitch. You’ll have a minute and a half to tell us why this [school] makes sense to you. Don’t walk up and recite something from memory about the campus, the student body, and how old the school is.… Listen, I have a lot of Indian friends. I know that your father may have told you where you were going to go to school and what you were going to study. That’s fine. Tell us what he told you. Show us that it makes sense for you."

If that is indeed an accurate reflection of the consular approach in India, it could certainly account for the higher rejection rates for Indian students.

However, it also speaks to a larger issue in the US in terms of the linkages between student visa policy and the larger economic and labour market requirements of the United States.

Another recent report from FWD.us, a US advocacy group concerned with immigration reform, points out that there are 7.5 million unfilled jobs in the US, and that new immigrants (including students) are a critically important talent pool for the US economy. It also argues that the existing pathways by which foreign graduates can go on to work and perhaps settle in the US, including Optional Practical Training and the H-1B work visa, are considerably overextended.

"The United States has come to rely on the temporary H-1B work visa as its main—and sometimes only—high-skilled immigration policy tool," notes the report. "This over-reliance on the H-1B visa program creates choke points in our talent pipeline where skilled individuals either cannot move forward or simply choose to leave. Since 1997, the full H-1B visa cap has been exhausted every year prior to the end of the fiscal year…Simply put, there is a profoundly higher demand for these skilled workers than the current law is able to supply."

H-1B cap-subject petitions submitted by employers vs annual quota of available H-1B visas, 2014–2019. Source: US Citizenship and Immigration Services

The paper goes on to argue for reforms to the US immigration system, including that:

  • H-1B visa caps be linked to employer demand
  • Class(es) of employment-related visas be expanded to "provide realistic
    alternatives to H-1B for employers who want to sponsor skilled immigrants for
    permanent residency"
  • An expedited path to citizenship be established for foreign graduates and entrepreneurs

"The United States already has some of the greatest talent on earth; the challenge now is keeping them here," concludes the report. "That will require developing new immigration programs for foreign-born startup founders, graduates of US universities, and high-skilled workers and their families."

For additional background, please see:

Most Recent

  • The impact of immigration settings, affordability, and job opportunities on international students’ study abroad decisions Read More
  • Hong Kong needs to build more student housing Read More
  • ChatGPT for international education marketing: What is “Prompt Engineering?” Read More

Most Popular

  • Canada’s foreign enrolment grew by more than 30% in 2022 Read More
  • Measuring cost of study and cost of living across study destinations Read More
  • Recruiting in the Emirates: Big goals, world-class education, and new scholarships Read More

Because you found this article interesting

The impact of immigration settings, affordability, and job opportunities on international students’ study abroad decisions New research underlines the extent to which international students look closely at work opportunities and immigration policy in...
Read more
Hong Kong needs to build more student housing In his October 2023 address, Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee set out some ambitious goals for the...
Read more
Canadian immigration minister releases official cap figures and targets for 2024 In many respects, the implementation of Canada’s newly established cap on international student enrolment has been shrouded in...
Read more
Australia: Record-high foreign enrolment but tighter immigration settings now taking hold The Australian government has further increased its scrutiny of international student applicants in an effort to ensure incoming...
Read more
Business school survey again signals declining non-EU enrolment in UK The most recent survey from the Chartered Association of Business Schools in the UK reveals that, “International student...
Read more
US study visa refusals reached record levels in 2023 More than a third of prospective international students applying to study in the US last year were turned...
Read more
Canada: More provincial cap numbers announced; IRCC moves up end date for post-graduate work for partnership programmes Since the Canadian government’s announcement in January that it would be capping the number of new study permits...
Read more
Canada: Ontario’s cap implementation plan allocates nearly all study permit applications to public colleges and universities On 26 February 2024, the Government of Ontario – Canada’s most-populous province and host to just over half of...
Read more
What are you looking for?
Quick Links