fbpx
Market intelligence for international student recruitment from ICEF
18th Feb 2020

US graduate schools report increased International applications and commencements

In fall 2019, American universities saw a year-over-year increase in international graduate applications (up 3%) and first-time enrolments (up 4%). This marks a reversal of a downward trend that stretched from 2016 through 2018, according to the Council of Graduate Schools’ (CGS) International Graduate Admissions Survey. The annual survey, conducted since 2004, tracks the applications and enrolments of international students in master’s and doctoral programmes in the United States.

Previous to 2016, international students’ applications and first-time enrolments (also referred to as commencements) in American graduate programmes had increased every year since 2003.

CGS President Suzanne Ortega said of the fall 2019 findings:

“We are pleased to see that the overall application and first-time enrolment numbers for international graduate students are on the rise. Our member universities work hard to ensure a welcoming environment for students and scholars from across the globe.

We remain vigilant, however, in monitoring obstacles, including the latest Executive Order ‘travel ban’ and other changes in immigration and visa policy, that may negatively impact our ability to attract talented students from around the world.”

Master’s and certificates responsible for most growth

Three-quarters of first-time enrolments were in master’s and certificate-based programmes, while doctoral programmes claimed the remaining quarter. International applications for master’s and certificate programmes increased by 3% and first-time enrolments were up 4% in fall 2019.

Doctoral universities with the highest level of research activity (classified as R1) as well as master’s colleges increased their international commencements (by 3% and 11%, respectively), but not all types of graduate university saw increases. Doctoral universities with higher or moderate research activity saw doctoral and master’s and certificate programme commencements fall by -6% and -1%, respectively.

Less interest in engineering and business

Two of the most popular areas of study for international graduates saw decreases in applications in fall 2019: engineering programmes received -2% fewer applications and business programmes experienced negative growth of -3%.

But international applications were substantially up for arts and humanities (6%), health sciences (7%), mathematics and computer sciences (7%), and biological and agricultural sciences (14%) between fall 2018 and fall 2019. And, CGS notes that,

“The largest one-year increases in first-time international graduate enrollment by broad field of study were in mathematics and computer sciences (11%), social and behavioral sciences (11%), and biological and agricultural sciences (10%).”

China and India continue to drive trends

In fall 2019, Chinese applications and commencements were up by 3%. While Indian applications were flat (0%), first-time enrolments were up by 1% – the first bit of growth from the Indian graduate market since 2015.

Year-over-year change in application volumes and first-year enrolments by country or region, fall 2018 and fall 2019. Source: CGS
Year-over-year change in application volumes and first-year enrolments by country or region, fall 2018 and fall 2019. Source: CGS

The stable, slightly growing flow from China and India is important given that China (39%) and India (24%) together made up 63% of all first-time international graduate students enrolled in US institutions in the fall of 2019. In addition, both applications and enrolments had been down substantially from India from 2016 through 2018, so the fall 2019 data suggests that this market is beginning to rebound.

Nearly 7 in 10 first-time international students in US master’s and certificates programmes were either Chinese (41%) or Indian (28%) in fall 2019. Chinese and Indians also together represented almost half of international doctoral student commencements (33% and 14%, respectively).

In terms of applications to US graduate schools, Chinese and Indian students submitted 68% of these in fall 2019. Chinese students contributed almost half (46%) of international applications to master’s and certificate programmes and 39% of submissions to doctoral programmes, underlining the continued heavy significance of this market in the American graduate school landscape.

Other markets: trends in applications

Prospective graduate students from South Korea (-6%), Brazil (-2%), and Saudi Arabia (-5%) sent in fewer applications in fall 2019 than in fall 2018. This marks the fourth year of a downward trend from the Saudi market.

By contrast, Japanese graduate students sent in 13% more applications, a reversal from two previous cycles of decline. Iranians also sent in 2% more, in contrast to declines of -18% and -27% in 2016/17 and 2017/18, respectively. However, this upward tick seems unlikely to continue given current Iran–US tensions.

The major growth story is from the Sub-Saharan African region. For the third year in a row, students from this region sent in substantially more applications (11%).

Other markets: trends in commencements

There were more first-time students enrolled in American graduate schools from Japan (8%), South Korea (1%), and Taiwan (5%) in fall 2019 than in fall 2018. After two years of decreases, Mexican commencements were up, and by a substantial 10%; by contrast, Brazilian commencements were down (-7%). There was a dip in Iranian graduate students (-7%).

Again, the big news is from Sub-Saharan Africa. There were 22% more African students from this region enrolled for the first time in US graduate schools in 2019 than in 2018, following an increase of 19% the previous year and 27% the year before that.

For additional background, please see:

Most Recent

  • US warns of expanded travel ban that could affect key African markets Read More
  • Breaking: US resumes student visa processing Read More
  • Is Canada valued more as a “pathway to immigration” or as a destination for education? Read More

Most Popular

  • Which countries will contribute the most to global student mobility in 2030? Read More
  • Research shows link between study abroad and poverty alleviation  Read More
  • Beyond the Big Four: How demand for study abroad is shifting to destinations in Asia and Europe Read More

Because you found this article interesting

US warns of expanded travel ban that could affect key African markets “The United States is considering restricting entry to citizens of an additional 36 countries in what would be...
Read more
Breaking: US resumes student visa processing On 18 June, the US State Department sent a cable to all US diplomatic posts abroad instructing them...
Read more
Is Canada valued more as a “pathway to immigration” or as a destination for education? During a 12 June 2025 webinar presented by the Canadian Bureau for International Education (CBIE) and IDP, IDP...
Read more
Japanese outbound numbers reached 90% of pre-pandemic levels in 2024 An annual survey of Japanese education agents finds that outbound student numbers from this key sending market are...
Read more
UK: Study visa applications up by nearly a third year to date The early data we are seeing so far this year makes a couple of things clear. First, there...
Read more
Real-time insights on shifting international student interest in the US ICEF and NAFSA co-hosted a featured webinar on 11 June, and the session showcased some important data reflecting...
Read more
What are the latest developments for international students in the United States? An update like this needs a time stamp as the events reported are unfolding quickly. It was first...
Read more
ICEF Podcast: Live from NAFSA 2025 Listen in as ICEF’s Craig Riggs and Martijn van de Veen recap a busy week at the annual...
Read more
What are you looking for?
Quick Links